Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.089207 2.498064 2.956660 3.507808 4.150787 4.875726 5.753470
2026-01-18 1.506092 2.026163 2.672441 3.529006 4.628177 5.984368 7.776560
2026-01-25 1.103040 1.639822 2.366655 3.410826 4.858056 6.776370 9.491181
2026-02-01 0.835573 1.356068 2.115451 3.284354 5.013317 7.445941 11.088138
2026-02-08 0.676885 1.186867 1.981050 3.278556 5.307078 8.308217 13.017703
2026-02-15 0.561524 1.056858 1.875295 3.285923 5.602555 9.184742 15.040998
2026-02-22 0.464334 0.934727 1.756556 3.245498 5.804407 9.924401 16.914990
2026-03-01 0.369855 0.796239 1.583520 3.081425 5.771935 10.275801 18.194371
2026-03-08 0.310816 0.711755 1.490369 3.038842 5.932451 10.946949 20.044665
2026-03-15 0.265501 0.644899 1.417777 3.020137 6.126951 11.686220 22.068043
2026-03-22 0.247045 0.631217 1.446406 3.197063 6.698262 13.133099 25.441971
2026-03-29 0.223173 0.600300 1.434187 3.289358 7.115883 14.337418 28.481800
2026-04-05 0.204970 0.579926 1.443074 3.430287 7.653004 15.827268 32.203338
2026-04-12 0.179147 0.535229 1.391017 3.434359 7.914944 16.822751 35.094440
2026-04-19 0.149597 0.473828 1.289663 3.314075 7.902040 17.280739 36.995640
2026-04-26 0.124717 0.418796 1.193271 3.189382 7.861649 17.674781 38.798229
2026-05-03 0.109466 0.387476 1.150141 3.183277 8.079884 18.611719 41.757620
2026-05-10 0.096871 0.360971 1.114697 3.190306 8.327416 19.629403 44.961179
2026-05-17 0.084200 0.330867 1.064008 3.150909 8.460790 20.412663 47.735776
2026-05-24 0.069335 0.289170 0.972766 2.991185 8.285212 20.502410 49.039282
2026-05-31 0.060291 0.265150 0.928153 2.949733 8.394516 21.234812 51.790296
2026-06-07 0.053086 0.245774 0.893833 2.931526 8.559794 22.107711 54.917561
2026-06-14 0.051324 0.247010 0.924405 3.103740 9.236928 24.225760 60.997601